The New York Times/Siena College recently took a poll on the US presidential election.
The result of the poll shows a competitive race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris.
The surveys show Trump with a slight edge nationwide, leading Harris by a single percentage point, 48% to 47%, which is within the poll’s margin of error, suggesting a virtual tie in overall voter support.
This race is notably tight in key battleground states, with Harris and Trump each holding advantages in different regions, reflecting the complexities of voter preferences across the country
National and Regional Polling Insights
The poll, conducted from September 3 to 6 among 1,695 voters, found Harris leading Trump in several northern battleground states such as Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan, while the two candidates are locked in close contests in Nevada, Georgia, Arizona, and North Carolina.
In the Sun Belt states, the poll shows Harris leading Trump by five percentage points in Arizona and holding a narrow edge in North Carolina.
Trump, however, is ahead in Georgia and Nevada. The candidates are statistically tied with 48% of the vote when these four crucial states are taken into account together.
The polling results show that Harris is enjoying a surge in support from Democratic voters, a sentiment that started to develop after her July campaign launch and was reinforced by last month’s Democratic National Convention in Chicago.
Demographic and Issue-Based Divides
The US poll reveals sharp demographic divides between the candidates. The level of support that Black and Latino voters have shown for Harris has greatly increased over that of President Biden before his withdrawal from the race.
She commands 84% of the black vote and 54% of the Latino vote across the Sun Belt states.
In contrast, Trump’s support is solid among white voters, especially those without a college degree, highlighting the deep-rooted racial and educational divides that are shaping the current political landscape.
