Saudi Arabia to Invest $5 Billion in Egypt, Forex Strategy Contrasts With Nigeria’s

Egypt Has Relied on Multilateral Funds While Nigeria Has Tapped Private Markets to Manage Foreign Exchange Scarcity

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Egypt announces it is set to receive $5 billion in investments from the Saudi government.

The announcement was made by Egypt’s prime minister, Mostafa Madbouly, who described it as one of several economic reforms meant to attract foreign investment. It will be another significant accretion of Egypt’s foreign exchange reserves.

He asserts that they have established Egypt as a top location for foreign direct investment (FDI), especially from the Gulf.

Economic Context and Need for Foreign Investment

Egypt has recently encountered serious economic difficulties. The persistent trade deficit, inadequate industrial planning, and an overbearing government intervention that stifles competition in the private sector have all put pressure on the nation’s economy.

One of the most urgent issues is Egypt’s substantial foreign debt, which was mostly accrued during the administration of President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi.

Due to the debt’s impact on the foreign exchange market, there has been a surge in interest rates on domestic borrowing, which has made the deficits worse. As a result, the Egyptian pound has lost more than two-thirds of its value against the dollar since early 2022. Egypt’s economy has benefited greatly from foreign investment, especially from Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) nations like Saudi Arabia. Central Bank of Egypt’s (CBE) records show that  Egypt’s has increased by around $11.2bn since January 2024, the total reserves rising to $46.383 billion in June.

This announced  $5 billion investment from Saudi Arabia reflects a larger  plan to grow Egypt’s foreign exchange reserves and support the stability of the national currency and economy.

Target Sectors for Investment

Though it remains unclear whether the $5 billion from Saudi Arabia will be entirely fresh capital or conversion of previous deposits, the areas where the funds are likely to be channelled have been outlined.

One primary focus is Egypt’s infrastructure sector. The country has infrastructure projects in the works, including transportation networks, power plants, and housing developments, all of which require massive capital inflows.

Another key area is real estate, particularly high-end real estate projects in cities like Cairo and Alexandria. The UAE has already demonstrated how deposits can be redirected toward real estate deals, creating a model that Saudi Arabia may follow.

Potential Economic Benefits for Egypt

The benefits of Saudi investment extend beyond just financial capital. Saudi Arabia’s involvement in Egypt’s infrastructure and energy sectors can contribute to technology transfer, improve efficiencies, and raise the standard of projects.

These investments could also help stabilize the Egyptian economy by providing much-needed foreign exchange reserves, supporting the Egyptian pound, and reducing inflationary pressures.

Job creation is another significant benefit. With large-scale infrastructure and real estate projects, thousands of jobs are expected to be created, which will alleviate some of Egypt’s unemployment challenges, especially for its young population.

Ultimately, this investment is part of a wider Gulf strategy to strengthen economic ties with key regional partners. For Egypt, securing this investment is a crucial step in its ongoing efforts to stabilize its economy and attract more foreign capital.

Divergent Strategies to Handle Foreign Currency Scarcity:  Egypt Versus Nigeria

Over the past seven years, Egypt and Nigeria have faced significant foreign currency scarcity, but their approaches to addressing these challenges have differed markedly. Egypt has adopted a more aggressive strategy, allowing its currency to float, which has led to greater long-term stability despite short-term volatility. The Central Bank of Egypt has implemented interest rate hikes to combat inflation and attract foreign investment. In contrast, Nigeria has maintained a controlled exchange rate system, resulting in a persistent scarcity of dollars and reliance on multiple exchange rates, which has complicated its economic landscape.

Egypt’s proactive approach includes securing loans from international financial institutions like the International Monetary Fund IMF, which have provided critical financial support to bolster its foreign reserves. Additionally, the Egyptian government has focused on diversifying its economy by investing in sectors such as tourism, manufacturing, and energy. This diversification has helped increase foreign currency inflows and stabilize the economy. Conversely, Nigeria has approached external borrowing with caution, primarily relying on domestic revenue and struggling to attract foreign direct investment due to regulatory challenges and security concerns.

The presence of a black market for foreign currency is another area where the two countries diverge. While Egypt has seen a reduction in the prominence of its black market due to government stabilization efforts, Nigeria continues to grapple with a vibrant black market driven by restrictive policies and high demand for dollars. These differences underscore the contrasting strategies of Egypt and Nigeria in navigating the complexities of foreign currency scarcity, with Egypt’s more liberalized approach yielding better results in the face of economic challenges.

Nigeria Has Changed Foreign Exchange Strategy under President Ahmed Bola Tinubu and CBN Governor, Olayemi Cardoso

Under Olayemi Cardoso, Nigeria has significantly altered its foreign exchange management strategy. The change is  characterized by currency devaluation, the eradication of multiple exchange rates, and reliance on bond sales, i.e a significant even if uneven shift towards a more market-oriented approach.

But unlike Egypt, Nigeria has not sought to  attract multilateral loans, thus foregoing the vital financial support and stability which the loans offer as nations battle tough economic constraints and try to restore investor confidence and private inflows. Egypt’s strategy of actively seeking multilateral loans has allowed it to bolster its foreign reserves faster but it also has had to and implement critical reforms at a faster pace.

The financial support from institutions like the IMF has provided a safety net, enabling Egypt to manage inflation and maintain currency stability. While Nigeria’s strategy seeks to reduce dependency on external borrowing, it may lack the immediate financial cushion that Egypt gains from multilateral assistance. Nigerian reforms, for instance the design of its foreign exchange liberalisation, may also have benefitted from strong technical advice offered by institutions such as the IMF, besides liquidity support to back the naira.

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