Why Ghana Eyes Fuel Imports from Nigeria’s Dangote Refinery

Ghana is considering importing fuel from Nigeria’s Dangote Refinery, aiming to cut the high costs of European imports, which reach $400 million monthly. With Dangote’s refinery nearing full capacity, it could supply Ghana and other African countries, reducing freight costs and potentially stabilizing fuel prices in the region. Meanwhile, Nigeria's regulatory body is working to make LPG more affordable domestically and is pushing to increase Nigeria's energy independence and export capacity.

Dangote Refinery petrol price

Ghana could soon source petroleum products from Nigeria’s Dangote Petroleum Refinery rather than Europe, potentially saving the country millions. Ghana’s National Petroleum Authority Chairman, Mustapha AbdulHamid, highlighted at the OTL Africa Downstream Oil Conference in Lagos that this move could eliminate monthly imports costing $400 million. Ghana hopes to cut freight costs and lower fuel prices for its citizens by reducing its dependency on Europe.

The $20 billion Dangote refinery, launched in Lekki, Nigeria, has begun supplying Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) locally but could soon reach a production capacity of 650,000 barrels per day (bpd). This exceeds Nigeria’s demand, making surplus fuel available for export. Abdul-Hamid explained that if the refinery operates at full capacity, Ghana could save on costs and logistical expenses by importing from Nigeria rather than Rotterdam.

The Dangote refinery is expected to run near full capacity by the end of 2024 and fully operational by the first quarter of 2025. This development aligns with a broader regional trend toward energy independence, as Africa aims to reduce reliance on overseas fuel imports. Abdul-Hamid noted that eventually, a unified African currency could lower demand for U.S. dollars in trade, adding stability to fuel prices.

Why Nigeria Continues Importing Fuel Despite Dangote Refinery

Nigeria’s total deregulation of the downstream oil sector led to continued fuel imports, even after the refinery’s launch. Domestic marketers have imported PMS to supplement local demand until the Dangote refinery achieves full operational capacity and licensing. This situation underscores the challenges in meeting Nigeria’s extensive fuel demand, as the country’s own refineries have struggled with years of inactivity.

Efforts to Address LPG Affordability in Nigeria

At the conference, the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) Chief Executive, Farouk Ahmed, emphasized the need for a structured domestic pricing framework for Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG). He discussed collaboration with domestic LPG producers, including Chevron Nigeria Ltd, Mobil Producing Nigeria Ltd, and Nigerian LNG, to reduce the cost of cooking gas and improve accessibility for Nigerian consumers.

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The Broader vision for Nigeria’s Energy Sector

The Dangote refinery represents a cornerstone in Nigeria’s pursuit of energy self-sufficiency. Ahmed reaffirmed the government’s commitment to increasing domestic refining capacity, targeting 2 million barrels of liquid oil production and 10 billion cubic feet of gas for domestic use. With these measures, Nigeria aims to become a net exporter of petroleum products, transforming its energy landscape and influencing the broader West African market.

In addition to bolstering domestic fuel supply, Nigeria’s vision includes reducing reliance on imports from Europe, the Americas, and Asia, paving the way for a more resilient energy sector. By exporting refined products to neighboring countries like Ghana, Nigeria can foster stronger intra-African trade ties, support regional economic integration, and reduce dependency on overseas sources. This shift not only helps stabilize local fuel prices but also strengthens economic resilience within ECOWAS, setting a foundation for collaborative growth across the continent.

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